May 28, 2013

Severe weather threat for Wednesday in the western half of OK is worse

Hey folks in the western half of the state - where you can get live weather updates and have access to underground shelter tomorrow afternoon.  You're now in a 'moderate' risk area, which means a 45% chance of severe weather within 25 miles of any point.  This is the same level of risk that was present when the big one went through Moore a week ago Monday.  This risk area extends south a little ways into TX, and all the way up through Kansas and into Nebraska.

With any luck, the hail and tornadoes produced will just go through some fields and not hurt anyone, but please be prepared, and spread the word to your neighbors, friends, and family in the area, post it on Facebook, etc.

As this is the forecast 24 hours in advance, it may change.  I would rather notify people about it now and have it change than wait until tomorrow morning and someone doesn't see the email or the blog post.  For now, storms are expected to start firing around 4pm, but could go as early as 2pm.  Be aware, keep your radio/TV on or set up your phone to receive severe weather warnings, and be ready to move.  Typically these storms start off heading to the NE, but as they organize they may 'turn right' and wind up heading due east.  They can also develop quickly - 8 days ago the storm in Moore went from barely there on radar to EF-4 in the space of 30 or 45 minutes.

Almost all of the rest of OK is in a 'slight risk' area as well.  'Slight risk' typically doesn't mean large tornadoes, but there are exceptions to this - an EF-4 in a slight risk area killed a couple of people in a small TX town a couple weeks ago.

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